Nassim taleb why it is no longer

Their conversation is presented here, edited for length and clarity. You became famous for warning people, having warned people, about extreme events and how cataclysmic they could be, right? I was involved. I was taking risks. I was eating my risk. Owning my own risk, as I write in the book. There are two levels. The thing falls apart, and they walk away from it. They broke it. Then, the same people make the same mistake with Libya and then now currently with Syria, the warmongers.

In the past, historically, warmongers were soldiers. What marker is there? How would we know? We know very well that a pilot, a plane pilot, is an expert. A dentist is an expert. The trick is to be bored with a specific book, rather than with the act of reading.

So the number of the pages absorbed could grow faster than otherwise. And you find gold, so to speak, effortlessly, just as in rational but undirected trial-and-error-based research. It is exactly like options, trial and error, not getting stuck, bifurcating when necessary but keeping a sense of broad freedom and opportunism.

Trial and error is freedom. So there is a logic to natural things that is much superior to our own. Just as there is a dichotomy in law: 'innocent until proven guilty' as opposed to 'guilty until proven innocent', let me express my rule as follows: what Mother Nature does is rigorous until proven otherwise; what humans and science do is flawed until proven otherwise.

Namely that our highest currency is respect. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better. All Quotes Add A Quote. Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Books by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. The Black Swan 97, ratings. This is apparent from a social pathology: psychopaths rally followers. Nassim Taleb: A Definition of Antifragile and Its Implications — Antifragility has a singular property of allowing us to deal with the unknown, to do things without understanding them — and do them well.

Nassim Taleb Explains Antifragility — Taleb discusses the elusive concept of antifragility: things that gain from disorder.

Fooled by Randomness. The Black Swan. The Bed of Procrustes. Skin in the Game See Chapters posted online here , here , here , and here. Silent Risk. Book Recommendations from Nassim Taleb. Antifragile Thinking for a Fat-Tailed World Nassim Taleb is the original, idiosyncratic mind behind Fooled by Randomness , The Black Swan , and Antifragile , a bestselling series of books on the nature of complexity, randomness, and a world where rare events dominate the landscape.